Real Estate Market Update following March 2018

Real Estate Market Update following March 2018

Thanks for taking the time to look at my monthly real estate update for South Delta and the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV).

Here is a link to the complete set of charts and graphs – it may be useful to refer to them as you read through this piece!

Here is a link to the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver media release.

March sales across the REBGV were 23% below the 10 year average but low listing inventories have kept sales levels fairly level.

“Even with lower demand, upward pressure on prices will continue as long as the supply of homes for sale remains low,” Moore said. “Last month was the quietest March for new home listings since 2009 and the total inventory, particularly in the condo and townhome segments, of homes for sale remains well below historical norms.”

Sales and Listings

Detached sales are down with the upper end of the market $2m+ most noticeably affected. The sales to new listings ratio of 40% is low compared to the frenzied years of 2015 & 2016 but not too dissimilar from many other years in the past 10 when the ratio was often in the mid to upper 40s.

Townhouse sales were also down compared to the past 3 years but still above the levels of 2013 & 2014. However active listings levels are only around 50% of what they were 4 and 5 years ago.

Apartment sales were down from the last 3 years as well, one may conjecture likely due to tighter mortgage qualifying requirements as well as uncertainty in the market. However supply remains historically low and very similar to last year.

The following table illustrates the recent 5 year history of the supply-demand dynamic of each of the categories:

Sales to Active Listings Ratio

March of:

Detached Townhouse Apartment

2013

13.7% 18.0% 15.9%

2014

17.8% 20.5% 18.0%
2015 35.1% 41.3%

28.4%

2016 57.9% 104.7%

77.8%

2017

26.2% 57.8%

85.1%

2018 14.3% 39.9%

61.6%

 

Pricesas measured by the House Price Index

Detached prices are basically level, having varied less than 0.1% in the past 9 months.

Townhouse prices continue to rise, up 3.9% since the beginning of the year and all of that attributed to the past 2 months.

Apartment prices have continued to increase on a fairly steady trajectory since July 2017 at an annualized rate of about 19%.

HPI REBGV DetHPI REBGV THHPI REBGV Apt

Locally

The graphs below show the most active ranges in our detached market.

Price Dist LadnerPrice Dist Tsawwassen

The current ‘level’ provides a ‘low stress’ time to make a move.

Call me to bring professional and experienced ‘added value’ to your real estate needs.

call/text:  604.603.8538

or email:  dbauck@deanbauck.com

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